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Forex basics 24
- What Is Forex? The currency market, how a pair actually works, and what a 50-pip move is worth on a real position size.
- Pips, Lots and Contract Sizes A pip is the unit of price movement, a lot is the unit of size, and together they tell you what you are actually risking.
- Order Types Explained Three ways into a trade, two ways out, and the trade-off between controlling your price and controlling your execution.
- Spreads, Commissions and Swap Spread, commission and swap are small on one trade and decisive across several hundred of them.
- Leverage and Margin Leverage decides how large a position you may open. Position size decides how much you lose per pip. They are not the same thing.
- Currency Pairs and Trading Sessions Which pairs to trade, when they actually move, and why the clock changes what a strategy is worth.
- How to Read a Forex Quote What the two currencies and the number actually mean, and why a rising quote is never good or bad on its own.
- How Trading Signals Work A signal supplies the levels. You supply the position size, and that is where your risk actually lives.
- Major, Minor, and Exotic Currency Pairs The group a pair belongs to predicts your spread, your fill quality and how likely it is to gap over a stop.
- Understanding Bid and Ask Price Two prices, one spread, and the reason a brand new position is already slightly negative.
- What Moves Currency Prices Relative demand is the only mechanism. Rates, data and flows are the reasons it shifts.
- Technical Vs Fundamental Analysis One asks what price is doing, the other asks why it should. Their failure modes are different, which is why most traders use both.
- Reading Candlestick Charts Four numbers in one shape, and why the body and the wicks have to be read together.
- Support and Resistance Basics Levels are records of where people have transacted before, not forces that stop price.
- Trend Lines and Market Structure Swing highs and lows describe the market with no lag and no parameters to choose.
- Timeframes and Chart Intervals The interval you choose decides how much noise you see, how often you pay the spread and how wide your stop has to be.
- Economic Calendar Basics Markets price the forecast, so the move comes from the gap between expectation and result.
- Central Banks and Interest Rates Every macro argument in forex is ultimately an argument about what a central bank does next.
- Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite Currencies move in groups when participants change how much risk they want to hold, whatever the local data says.
- Demo Trading Vs Live Trading Simulation teaches the platform. It cannot teach you what happens when the money is yours.
- Choosing a Forex Broker Your broker holds the money, sets the price and fills the order. That is three reasons to spend an afternoon on the choice.
- Trading Platforms and Chart Tools Almost any mainstream platform can execute a sound plan. A badly configured one costs you trades and creates errors.
- Correlation Between Currency Pairs Two positions in correlated pairs are one larger trade wearing a disguise, and your account experiences it that way.
- Common Beginner Mistakes in Forex New traders lose money in a small number of predictable ways, which means each one can be designed around in advance.
Technical analysis 26
- Candlesticks 101 A candlestick is a scoreboard for one period of trading. Here is how to read the contest it records, and why location matters…
- Support and Resistance Support and resistance exist because of what people did the last time price was there. Here is how to mark the areas that matter…
- Trendlines and Market Structure Structure is the sequence of swing highs and lows. Read it first, and a trendline becomes a visual aid rather than the analysis…
- Moving Averages A moving average is price with the noise averaged out. It is a good filter, a fair support zone and a poor timing tool, in that…
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index RSI compares recent gains to recent losses on a 0 to 100 scale. Overbought means strong momentum, and strength is not a reason…
- ATR and Volatility ATR measures how far an instrument typically travels per candle. It has no view on direction, which is exactly what makes it…
- Multi-Timeframe Analysis Three charts, one order, every time. The higher timeframe sets bias, the middle finds the setup, the lower times the entry and…
- Common Chart Patterns A pattern is consolidation drawn as a shape. It is worth trading only when you can say what the shape means and where it is…
- MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD is the distance between a fast and a slow moving average. It is slow on purpose, which is both its weakness and the reason…
- The Stochastic Oscillator The stochastic asks one question: where did the close land inside the recent range? That is useful in a range and misleading in…
- Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands measure volatility, not value. A touch says this candle is unusual against the last twenty, and nothing more…
- Fibonacci Retracements Fibonacci levels mark how much of a move has been given back. They matter where they coincide with something else, and rarely on…
- Fibonacci Extensions and Projections Extensions project where a resumed trend might travel. They are useful for setting a target before entry, and unreliable as a…
- Volume Analysis Basics Volume measures how many people were involved, not which side won. On a forex chart it is a proxy, and it is still worth reading.
- On-Balance Volume (OBV) OBV is a running total that adds volume on up-closes and subtracts it on down-closes. Read the shape of the line, never its value.
- Ichimoku Cloud Basics Ichimoku is five simple calculations sharing one panel. Start with the cloud alone as a trend filter and add the rest later.
- Pivot Points Pivot points are calculated from yesterday's high, low and close. They matter because everyone using the same formula gets the…
- Spotting Divergence Divergence describes a change in momentum at a swing point. It has no invalidation price of its own, which is why it cannot be…
- Choosing the Right Chart Timeframe Pick the longest timeframe that still gives you enough setups. Every problem on the list gets worse as the timeframe shrinks.
- Understanding Price Gaps A gap is a band of price where nothing traded. Nobody holds a position inside it, which is why price often crosses it quickly.
- VWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price VWAP is where the session's business was actually done. It resets each day, which is both its purpose and its main limitation.
- Elliott Wave Theory Basics Elliott Wave organises price into five waves with the trend and three against it. Its three hard rules are the only falsifiable…
- Average Directional Index (ADX) ADX answers one question: is there a trend worth trading? Direction has to come from the DI lines or from the chart itself.
- Parabolic SAR Parabolic SAR draws a trailing stop on your chart that tightens as the trend runs. That makes it an exit tool, not an entry tool.
- Heikin-Ashi Candles Heikin-Ashi draws the same data through a filter. It makes trends legible, and the open and close it shows are averages, not…
- Donchian Channels A Donchian Channel draws the highest high and lowest low of the last N periods. It defines a breakout as a fact, not an…
Risk management 22
- Position Sizing How to turn an account balance, a risk percentage and a stop distance into a lot size you can hold without flinching.
- Stop Losses Where a stop loss belongs, why it has to be decided before entry, and the one habit that turns a small planned loss into a large…
- Risk/Reward Ratios Risk/reward is half of an equation, and the half on its own tells you nothing about whether a strategy makes money.
- Understanding Drawdown Maximum drawdown is the most honest number in any track record, including your own, because it tells you what the bad stretch…
- When Not to Trade Not trading is a decision with an expected value, and the trades you decline are usually worth more than the ones you hunt for.
- Keeping a Trading Journal Memory exaggerates wins, buries losses and invents patterns from three examples. A journal replaces the story with numbers.
- Risk of Ruin and Why It Matters A strategy with a genuine positive edge can still lose everything, because expectancy is an average and ruin is a path.
- Diversification Across Currency Pairs Open EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD and you hold three tickers but one bet, because every forex pair shares its currencies with…
- Correlation Risk in a Portfolio Each position looks correctly sized, the platform shows three tickets, and a single dollar rally takes all three out within the…
- The Psychology of Losing Streaks A run of losses is what uncertainty looks like from the inside, and the response to it costs far more than the run itself.
- Overtrading and Revenge Trading Neither habit shows up as one catastrophic decision. Both show up as a slow gap between the plan you wrote and the trades you…
- Setting a Daily or Weekly Loss Limit Per-trade risk protects you from a bad trade. A daily loss limit protects you from the decisions that follow three of them.
- Take Profit Placement Strategies The stop decides what a trade costs when you are wrong. The target decides what it pays when you are right, and it is the one…
- Trailing Stops Explained Every trailing stop trades one cost for another: exiting early on a pullback, or giving back more when the move finally reverses.
- Managing Risk Around News Events News risk is one of the few risks you can see coming, which makes being surprised by a scheduled release a planning failure…
- Scaling In and Out of Positions Scaling gives you more control over a trade and more places to improvise, which is why it only works with rules written before…
- The Role of Volatility in Risk Management A 20-pip stop is comfortable in a quiet session and pointless after a rate decision, and nothing about your strategy changed in…
- Hedging Basics in Forex A hedge offsets an exposure you do not want to close. The costs of holding one are the part most traders work out afterwards.
- Emotional Discipline and Trading Plans The person deciding at 3pm with an open loss is not the one who wrote the rules on Sunday, and asking them to argue it out live…
- Account Risk Vs Trade Risk Trade risk is what one position costs if it fails. Account risk is what everything open costs if they fail together, and it is…
- Risk Management for Multiple Open Trades Every ticket can follow the per-trade rule while the account carries an exposure nobody chose and nobody wrote down.
- Understanding Margin Calls and Stop-Outs A stop-out is not a risk control. It is what happens after every risk control you were supposed to have has already been passed.
Trading psychology 20
- Discipline Over Motivation Motivation is weakest exactly when you need it most, so the answer is structure rather than resolve.
- FOMO and Revenge Trading Two emotions take more money than bad analysis ever does, and neither is fixed by deciding to stay calm.
- The Power of Patience The market pays for selection, not activity, and the cost of activity can be worked out to the dollar.
- Handling Losses A loss is the fee a method pays for access to the trades that work, and size is what decides whether you can afford it.
- Process vs Outcome Good decisions sometimes lose and bad decisions sometimes win, which is why a single result tells you almost nothing.
- Overconfidence After A Winning Streak Confidence rises faster than skill, and it peaks exactly when the conditions that produced the run are closest to ending.
- Confirmation Bias In Market Analysis Evidence gathered before you formed the view is information. Evidence gathered afterwards, and stopped once it agreed, is…
- Understanding Loss Aversion Losing hurts about twice as much as winning pleases, and that asymmetry is applied directly to your exits.
- Analysis Paralysis And Overthinking Entries The more confirmation you demand, the later the entry, and the stop does not move to accommodate you.
- Keeping A Trading Journal Memory keeps the dramatic trades and discards the routine ones, which is exactly the wrong sample to learn from.
- Treating Trading Like A Business Judged per trade, a loss is a personal failure. Judged per quarter, it is a budgeted cost line.
- Herd Mentality And Crowd Psychology A position loses exactly the same amount whether or not it was fashionable.
- The Sunk Cost Trap In Open Positions Money already committed has no bearing on what the price does next, but it has enormous influence on what traders do next.
- Managing Anxiety Before And During Trades A stress response narrows attention and pushes for immediate action, which is the wrong adjustment for a job that mostly…
- Building A Pre-Trade Routine A routine is most valuable on exactly the days when you least feel like running one.
- Recency Bias And Recent Trade Memory The recent trades are the ones you can see clearly, which is exactly why they feel like the current state of things.
- Boredom Trading And Overtrading Boredom trading rarely produces a dramatic loss. It produces a slow subtraction that is hard to attribute to anything.
- Thinking In Probabilities, Not Certainties A setup changes the distribution of outcomes without deciding any single one, which is the assumption everything else is built on.
- Separating Self-Worth From Trading Results Whatever you treat as the score is what you will get better at producing.
- Decision Fatigue And Mental Energy Rules that felt easy at nine in the morning start feeling negotiable at four in the afternoon.
Crypto trading 20
- What Is Crypto Trading? Crypto trades like a currency pair right up until you look at the size of the moves, and that is where imported habits break.
- Bitcoin and the Majors Bitcoin sets the direction for almost everything else, which makes a portfolio of ten coins far less diversified than it looks.
- Crypto Volatility vs Forex The formula for position size does not change between forex and crypto. The stop distance does, and it changes everything…
- Wallets vs CFDs Spot and CFDs give the same price exposure and fail in completely different ways. Cost and holding period decide which one fits.
- Market Capitalization And Why It Matters Market cap corrects for the accounting artefact that makes one token look cheap and another look expensive when they are worth…
- Altcoins And Token Categories Altcoin means everything that is not bitcoin, which is why the word is useless until you sort tokens by what they are actually…
- Stablecoins Explained Holding a stablecoin is lending an issuer money at zero interest, which makes a parked balance a credit decision rather than cash.
- Crypto Trading Pairs And Quote Currencies Every crypto chart measures the base asset against whatever the quote is doing, and in crypto the quote moves too.
- Order Types For Crypto Traders Every order trades certainty of price against certainty of execution, and crypto charges more than most markets for picking the…
- Order Books And Liquidity In Crypto Markets The order book tells you what you can actually sell and what it will cost, which is the one thing a price chart cannot show.
- Perpetual Futures And Funding Rates A perpetual never settles, so a payment between longs and shorts does the job that expiry does in an ordinary futures contract.
- Leverage And Liquidation Risk In Crypto Leverage does not change whether you are right. It changes how far price can move against you before someone else closes the…
- On-Chain Metrics As A Trading Tool Public ledgers give crypto a complete record of what participants did, which is powerful for context over months and close to…
- Crypto Market Cycles And Halving Events The halving is a known, scheduled supply cut. The four-year cycle built around it rests on three observations and a decade of…
- Correlation Between Crypto And Traditional Markets The diversification argument for crypto is conditional, and the condition tends to fail during exactly the stress it was…
- Trading Crypto's 24/7 Market Structure A market with no closing bell will take every hour you give it, and it moves hardest when the fewest people are awake.
- Slippage And Spreads In Crypto Trading The fee schedule is the smallest part of what trading costs. The spread you cross and the depth you consume are the rest.
- Risk Management For Crypto Positions The rules are the same ones forex uses. Crypto just charges you for breaking them several times faster.
- Tokenomics: Supply And Inflation Schedules A token's issuance schedule is published years in advance, which makes it the one part of the supply and demand equation you can…
- Custody Risk: Exchanges Vs Cold Storage Whoever holds the keys holds the asset. Everything else is a database entry saying somebody owes you one.
Smart money concepts 22
- Market Structure: The SMC Lens Swing highs, swing lows, and the order in which they break. That is the whole of market structure, and the labels only help if…
- Liquidity: Where Stops Cluster Resting orders are not spread evenly across a chart. They cluster where everybody can see them, and price has a habit of going…
- Order Blocks: An Introduction The last opposing candle before an impulsive move. Useful as a location and a stop reference, unreliable as a reason on its own.
- Fair Value Gaps: An Introduction Three candles where the outer wicks never overlap, leaving a band of price that only ever traded one way.
- Session Timing and Killzones Participation is not constant through the day, so the same chart shape printed at 03:00 and at 09:00 are not the same piece of…
- Break Of Structure Vs Change Of Character One label says the trend is intact, the other says something changed. Mixing them up means reading the chart backwards.
- Premium And Discount Pricing Zones Above the midpoint of the range is expensive, below it is cheap. A context filter that changes your risk-reward more than most…
- Breaker Blocks: When Order Blocks Fail Built out of a failure, not a success. The zone that stopped you out becomes a tightly defined location in the opposite direction.
- Mitigation Blocks Explained The zone where people caught on the wrong side of a fast move get their first chance to leave without a large loss.
- Inducement: The Trap Before The Move The shallow level between you and the zone you actually want. Useful as a warning about stop placement, dangerous as an excuse…
- Equal Highs And Lows As Liquidity Targets A flat ceiling on your chart is a flat ceiling on everyone else’s, which is exactly what makes it crowded.
- Internal Vs External Liquidity Minor swings inside the range, major swings beyond its edges. One kind gets cleared in passing, the other is where something has…
- Imbalance And Inefficiency Beyond The Basic Gap Any stretch where price travelled one way with almost no two-way trade behind it. The three-candle gap is just the tidiest…
- Multi-Timeframe Alignment In Smart Money Analysis A chart is one timeframe’s opinion. Two charts is a method, and six is a way of finding the answer you already wanted.
- Supply And Demand Zones Vs Order Blocks Two names, one place on the chart, different rules for drawing it. The difference shows up in your stop distance, not your…
- Draw On Liquidity And Directional Bias Not "up or down" but "which pool does price go and take first". A bias question with a level attached to the answer.
- Judas Swings And False Breakouts A liquidity sweep with a clock attached. The session open collects the orders stacked outside the overnight range before the day…
- Point Of Interest Confluence Stacking reasons on a price area only works when the reasons measure different things. Most confluence lists fail that test.
- Range Expansion And Consolidation Phases Markets alternate between coiling and travelling, and the tools that work in one state are the tools that bleed in the other.
- Wyckoff Concepts And Smart Money Overlap Two frameworks eighty years apart describing the same chart. The overlap is evidence the patterns are real, not that the story is.
- Smart Money Vs Retail Trader Psychology Not a claim that retail traders are foolish. A model for why the most obvious answer on a chart is also the most crowded one.
- Risk Management Within A Smart Money Framework Structure tells you where the idea fails. It tells you nothing about how much belongs on it, and that is the question that…
Chart patterns 22
- Head and Shoulders Pattern Three peaks, a neckline, and a measured objective that is a rough guide rather than a promise.
- Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Three troughs, a neckline above them, and a bottoming pattern that is noisier than its mirror image.
- Double Top Pattern Two failed attempts at the same level, and one low between them that does all the work.
- Double Bottom Pattern Two tests of the same support area, and the bounce high between them that decides whether anything happened.
- Triple Top and Triple Bottom Patterns Three tests of one level, and the awkward fact that a wider base makes the breakout trade price worse.
- Ascending Triangle Pattern Rising lows pressing into a flat ceiling, and the one classic pattern whose stop is naturally tight.
- Descending Triangle Pattern Falling highs against a level that keeps getting bought, and the order pocket that decides how the break behaves.
- Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Converging swings, a coming expansion, and no information at all about which way it goes.
- Bull Flag Pattern A sharp run, a shallow drift, and the one continuation shape whose stop is close enough to be worth trading.
- Bear Flag Pattern A fast fall, a slow lift against it, and a stop close enough that a small account can actually take the trade.
- Pennant Patterns A sharp thrust, a tight coil, and the point where dealing cost eats more of the trade than the structure is worth.
- Rising and Falling Wedges Two lines sloping the same way, measuring a market working harder for smaller gains.
- Cup and Handle Pattern A four-month base, a shallow pullback that makes it tradeable, and an objective measured in weeks.
- Rounding Tops and Bottoms A slow bowl or a slow dome, visible only once most of it has already happened.
- Rectangle and Trading Range Patterns Two horizontal levels, two incompatible trades, and the break that is always bigger than the swings inside.
- Broadening Formations (Megaphone Pattern) Higher highs and lower lows at the same time, and a stop that grows with every swing.
- Diamond Top and Bottom Patterns Swings that widen and then narrow, and four boundary lines that are four chances to draw your own preference.
- Three Drives Pattern Three pushes, each shorter than the last, and a definition that has to be able to reject charts.
- The Measured Move Pattern Two legs of similar size, and the assumption quietly powering almost every pattern target you have ever used.
- False Breakouts and Fakeouts A break through a level is worth making even when nobody changed their mind, and that is the entire mechanism.
- Volume Confirmation in Chart Patterns The number on a forex volume pane is a proxy, and reading it correctly starts with knowing what it counts.
- Pattern Failure and Risk Management Every pattern comes with a rate of disappointment attached, and the useful question is how to make it affordable.
Trading strategies 24
- Trend Following Fundamentals Trend following is a method for being wrong cheaply and occasionally right on a large scale, and the arithmetic only works if…
- Mean Reversion And Range Trading Range trading sells the top of a defined box and buys the bottom, and almost all of its profitability is decided by what you do…
- Breakout Trading Strategy The same breakout can be entered three ways with three different risks, and the stop placement matters far more than the entry…
- Moving Average Crossover Strategies A crossover converts a vague judgement about trend into a rule you can follow, and charges you a measurable amount of the move…
- Using RSI For Overbought And Oversold Signals A reading of 78 says price has been rising quickly relative to its own recent pace, and nothing at all about whether that pace…
- MACD Strategy Basics MACD is an average of an average of a difference, so every signal it produces arrives after the move it is describing has…
- Trading With Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands support two strategies that give opposite instructions at the same moment, so the regime has to be decided…
- Fibonacci Retracement Trading Fibonacci levels have no mechanism behind them, only attention, which makes them areas of interest rather than predetermined…
- Trading Key Candlestick Patterns A candlestick records what happened in one period of trading, which is useful at a level that matters and close to meaningless…
- Classic Chart Patterns Explained A recognisable shape is a hypothesis with a measurable risk attached, and measuring it before entry is most of what makes…
- Multi-Timeframe Analysis Skipping the higher timeframe check does not make your entries worse, it makes you take well-executed trades straight into walls.
- Scalping Strategy Overview On a five-pip target the cost base is the strategy, and everything else is a detail arranged around it.
- Day Trading, Swing Trading, And Position Trading Hold time decides the timeframe, the stop size, the cost structure and the hours you must be available, which makes style choice…
- The Carry Trade Strategy A carry trade is not an interest-rate product with a currency component, it is a currency position that happens to pay interest.
- Trading Around News And Economic Events The most important thing about event trading is that the numbers you planned with are not the numbers you get.
- Pairs Trading And Statistical Arbitrage A directional trade has one way to lose. A pairs trade has a way to lose on both legs at once, exactly when the relationship…
- Volume Analysis For Confirmation Volume describes how many participants turned up, which is information price alone cannot carry, and it says nothing at all…
- Price Action Trading Without Indicators Every indicator is a transformation of price, so a bare chart holds the same information earlier, and gives up the second…
- Reading Market Structure And Swing Points A trend does not change because the chart looks weaker, it changes at a specific price you can write down before it happens.
- ATR-Based Stop-Loss Placement A stop inside one third of a typical candle will be hit by ordinary movement, on trades whose underlying read was perfectly sound.
- Position Sizing Strategies Where price goes is not up to you. How much it costs when it goes the wrong way is entirely up to you.
- Risk-Reward Ratio And Win-Rate Math The relationship between reward-to-risk and how often you need to be right is fixed arithmetic, not a matter of trading…
- Building A Trading Plan A plan fixes your decisions while you are calm, so the hardest ones are not being made with a position open and money moving.
- Divergence Trading With Oscillators Divergence describes a condition rather than a moment, which is why correct analysis about weakening momentum so often becomes a…
Commodities and indices 16
- What Are Commodities? An Overview Commodities are interchangeable raw materials priced by physical supply and demand, and the contract sizes are far larger than…
- What Are Stock Indices? An Overview An index is a weighted calculation, not an average, and the top handful of constituents often decide where it closes.
- Gold As A Safe-Haven Asset Gold is a haven in the sense that demand rises during monetary stress, not in the sense that it goes up when markets fall.
- Oil Markets And Supply-Demand Drivers Oil is a supply story most weeks, and the weekly inventory report is the scheduled event most likely to decide your position.
- Trading Commodities Via CFDs And Futures Futures and CFDs track the same barrel. They differ in the smallest size you can trade, in expiry, and in what a night of…
- Contango And Backwardation Explained The futures curve is not a forecast. It is a storage bill, and a position held across a roll pays or collects it every month.
- Index Composition And Weighting Methods Weighting decides how much each company's move counts, which decides what an index move is actually telling you.
- Major Global Indices At A Glance Each major index is a different bet, and index points are not comparable until you multiply by the point value.
- How Interest Rates Affect Commodities And Indices One rate decision reaches indices through discounting and commodities through carry, currency and growth, which is why the…
- Seasonality In Commodity Markets Seasonal patterns come from real physical cycles, but a sample of twenty years is twenty data points, and that is far less…
- Currency-Commodity Correlations Commodity currencies track their exports for real economic reasons, and the link is far weaker and less stable than the…
- Trading Hours And Sessions For Commodities And Indices Indices and commodities close while the news keeps coming, and the price of that closure is a gap your stop cannot prevent.
- Precious Metals Beyond Gold Silver is not a smaller gold. Half its demand comes from factories, and that half is what gets priced in a growth shock.
- Agricultural Commodities Basics Agricultural markets drift for months and then reprice in days, and the limit move is the risk no stop order can cover.
- Natural Gas And Energy Markets Beyond Oil Gas cannot be shipped as easily as oil, so regional prices diverge, weather sets demand, and volatility runs at roughly twice…
- Risk Management For Commodities And Index Trading The risk rules are the same ones as everywhere else, with three adjustments: minimum contract size, a per-theme ceiling, and gap…
Trading indicators 22
- Moving Averages: SMA Vs EMA Both lines smooth price. Only one of them reacts to a close you can no longer see on the chart.
- Understanding RSI A reading of 75 means the up-moves over the last 14 bars added up to three times the down-moves. That is the whole claim.
- MACD: Trend And Momentum Together A falling MACD line does not mean price is falling. It means two moving averages are getting closer together.
- Bollinger Bands And Volatility The distance between the bands is a volatility reading in pips. That number is more useful than any band touch.
- Stochastic Oscillator Basics A stochastic of 80 means the close finished 80 per cent of the way up the last 14 bars' range. Nothing more.
- Average True Range For Measuring Volatility ATR is a distance, not a direction. Its job is to tell you how wide a stop has to be to sit outside ordinary movement.
- Volume As A Confirmation Tool Volume only means something as a ratio against its own recent average. The raw count on a forex chart is your broker's, not the…
- Fibonacci Retracement Levels The levels are fixed the moment you choose two swing points. Choosing them is the part that is not objective.
- Ichimoku Cloud: A First Look The cloud above today's candle was calculated 26 bars ago and shifted right. It is old information, not a forecast.
- ADX And Measuring Trend Strength ADX answers one question and refuses the other. It tells you whether a trend is worth following, never which way to follow it.
- Pivot Points For Intraday Levels Pivots are fixed at the open and never update. The span from S2 to R2 is exactly twice yesterday's range.
- VWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price VWAP is what participants paid, not where price printed. A spike with no volume behind it hardly registers.
- Parabolic SAR For Trailing Trends The dots tighten faster the longer a trend runs. That is the design, and it is also why a mature trend stops you out on any pause.
- On-Balance Volume Basics OBV has no meaningful zero. Scroll your chart back and the entire line shifts, which tells you what to read and what to ignore.
- Commodity Channel Index Basics The 0.015 in the CCI formula is not derived from anything. It was picked to make most readings land between minus 100 and plus…
- Williams %R Explained Zero is the top of the range and minus 100 is the bottom. The scale reverses the intuition most people arrive with.
- Golden Cross And Death Cross By the time a golden cross prints, the decline it marks the end of has usually been retraced in full. That is arithmetic, not…
- Divergence Between Price And Indicators Divergence tells you a move has lost force. It does not tell you when, or whether, price will respond to that.
- Combining Indicators Without Overload Adding a second tool from the same family buys agreement, not evidence. Only disagreement carries information.
- Indicator Lag And Whipsaws You cannot tune lag away. You can only choose how much of it to carry in exchange for fewer false signals.
- Volume Profile Basics A normal volume pane says when trading happened. A profile says where, and where is the more useful question.
- Money Flow Index Basics MFI is RSI with the volume column switched on. Where the two disagree is the only thing it adds.
Fundamental analysis 24
- What Is Fundamental Analysis Markets do not react to a 3.4% inflation rate. They react to a 3.4% print when 3.1% was expected.
- Fundamental Analysis Vs Technical Analysis A correct fundamental view with no timing attached is how traders spend eleven months being right and still losing money.
- Understanding GDP and Economic Growth GDP is the scoreboard, not the game. By release day most of the number has already been reported in monthly data.
- Inflation and the Consumer Price Index The annual inflation rate can fall 0.7 points in a month when current prices barely moved, because the month it is compared…
- The Role of Central Banks A 25 basis point move changes borrowing costs marginally. A signal that six more are coming changes the price of everything.
- How Interest Rate Decisions Move Currency Markets A currency pair prices the gap between two interest rates, and the gap the market expects matters more than the one that exists…
- Employment Data and Non-Farm Payrolls Payrolls is a fresh survey rather than a summary of data already published, which is why the reaction is measured in seconds.
- Reading an Income Statement Profit is an opinion within a framework. Revenue timing and depreciation policy are both decisions, not observations.
- Reading a Balance Sheet A balance sheet always balances. That is arithmetic, not evidence, and it is the residual equity line that carries the…
- Understanding the Cash Flow Statement Profit is calculated under rules. Cash is a bank balance. When the two diverge for two years running, one of them is describing…
- Earnings Per Share and the P/E Ratio Invert the P/E and it becomes an earnings yield you can hold against a government bond. That is the comparison the ratio is…
- Understanding Profit Margins Operating leverage is why share prices move four times harder than the revenue surprise that caused the move.
- Dividend Yield and Payout Ratio Screening an index for the highest yields reliably surfaces the companies in the most trouble, because the denominator moves…
- Market Capitalization Explained Market cap prices the residual claim on a company. Enterprise value prices the company, and the gap between them is the debt.
- Sector and Industry Analysis A number that looks alarming in one industry is unremarkable in the next, which is the whole reason sector comes before ratios.
- Trade Balance and the Current Account Money that leaves a country to buy goods comes back to buy assets. The composition of that return flow decides whether a deficit…
- Understanding the Purchasing Managers' Index A manager whose orders rose 1% and one whose orders rose 40% both answer better, and the index counts them identically.
- Consumer Confidence and Sentiment Indices Confidence surveys measure how people feel. Retail sales measure what they did. The gap between the two can persist for more…
- Reading Retail Sales Data Retail sales are reported before inflation is taken out, so the same headline describes a boom or a stagnation depending on the…
- Housing Market Indicators Housing is where a rate change reaches the real economy first, because the affordability arithmetic is immediate and cannot be…
- Purchasing Power Parity and Currency Valuation A currency 20% below purchasing power parity is, on average, still 10% below it three to five years later. That is the whole…
- Commodity Prices and Their Ripple Effects Brent fell 75% between 2014 and 2016 and the Canadian dollar lost 27% with it. Commodity prices reach your positions whether or…
- Quantitative Easing and Quantitative Tightening The last tightening cycle did not end at a balance-sheet target. It ended when the repo rate spiked to 10% and the Fed started…
- Yield Curves and Inversions An inverted curve has preceded most US recessions with lead times from six to twenty-three months. That makes it a regime…
Economic calendar and news 16
- What Is an Economic Calendar A calendar tells you when something is scheduled to happen. It tells you nothing about the number or the direction, and that…
- Understanding Impact Ratings A star count tells you which releases have the capacity to move price. It cannot tell you whether this particular one will.
- Reading Forecast, Previous, and Actual Data The actual figure is not the news. The distance between the actual figure and what was already expected is the news.
- How Consensus Estimates Shape Market Reactions The size of a reaction is proportional to how wrong the consensus was, multiplied by how confidently the market held it.
- Understanding Data Revisions The first print is what you trade. The revised figure is what was true. Those are two different jobs and they should not be mixed.
- Time Zones and Scheduling Around Releases Every release time on your calendar is a conversion, and a conversion that is one hour wrong puts you in the market at exactly…
- How Markets React to News Releases Price moves in jumps for the first few seconds, whips for five minutes, and only then settles into something you can place a…
- Spread Widening and Slippage During News Two separate charges land at the same moment, they stack, and neither of them appears in a backtest.
- The Risks of Trading the News The direction can be right and the trade can still lose, because a release changes the price, the spread, the fill and sometimes…
- Central Bank Speeches and Forward Guidance Policy is a path, not a single decision, and speeches are where the path gets revised without anything being announced.
- Scheduled Vs Unscheduled News Events One category gives you known timing and unknown content. The other gives you neither, and that decides which defences are even…
- Earnings Season and Earnings Calendars The reaction is driven by the gap between the result and the expectation, and the move usually happens while the market is shut.
- Building a Pre-Market News Routine A short fixed sequence run before you look at a single chart, whose output is a decision about size rather than a feeling about…
- Separating Signal From Noise in Headlines Sorting headlines is not a matter of reading more. It is a short test, and the fast version takes about thirty seconds.
- Rumors and Speculation Around Events Prices move on unconfirmed stories because positioning is a race, and that same fact is why the reversals are so abrupt.
- Using the Calendar for Risk Management Used properly the calendar changes exactly one number in your day, the lot size, and it changes it before the event rather than…
Stock market basics 18
- What Is a Stock A share is a claim on part of a real business, not a token on a screen. Here is what that claim includes, what it ranks behind…
- How Stock Exchanges Work Exchanges sort orders by price and time and match whatever crosses. That single mechanism explains fills, slippage, halts and…
- Common vs Preferred Stock Both classes are ownership, but they sit in different places in the payment queue, and that position decides almost everything…
- Understanding Market Capitalization Market capitalisation compares company size in a way share price cannot. It is also silent on debt, which is where most beginner…
- Stock Price vs Intrinsic Value Price is measured and value is estimated, which is why the two can stay a long way apart for years at a time without anyone…
- Dividends Explained Dividends transfer value rather than create it, which explains the ex-date price drop, the failure of dividend capture, and why…
- Stock Splits and Reverse Splits Splits change the units, not the business. The arithmetic is neutral both ways, but the reason a company reaches for a reverse…
- What Is an IPO The first-day pop is a pricing artefact, not a verdict. Here is who gets the offer price, who pays the open, and which dates in…
- Bull Markets vs Bear Markets The 20% threshold is a convention. The asymmetry underneath it is not, and it explains why drawdown control outranks entry timing.
- Reading a Stock Quote A quote describes trading conditions, not company quality. Read all twelve fields together and it tells you the spread, the…
- Understanding the Bid-Ask Spread The spread is what you pay to transact right now. It looks trivial per trade and compounds into one of the largest costs in an…
- Market Indices Explained Someone designed the index you are benchmarking against. The weighting method decides what the number measures, and it is rarely…
- Sectors and Industries Sector labels describe what a company sells. The audit that matters asks what would hurt each holding, and that table is usually…
- The P/E Ratio Explained A price-to-earnings multiple is a statement about future growth. Work out what growth it implies and the question stops being…
- Earnings Reports and Why They Matter Results are history by the time they are published. What moves the stock is the gap between what was expected and what…
- Volatility Explained Volatility measures how far a price travels, not which way. Its main practical use is deciding how large a position can be, not…
- Diversification Basics Diversification removes company-specific risk and leaves shared risk untouched. The arithmetic shows exactly where the benefit…
- Growth vs Value Investing Styles Growth pays up for future earnings, value pays down for present ones. The multiple is what decides whether either bet actually…
Orders and execution 16
- Market Orders vs Limit Orders One order type buys certainty of execution, the other buys price. You cannot have both, and the choice belongs to the setup…
- Stop-Loss Orders Explained A stop-loss is not mainly protection. It is the number that makes position sizing possible at all, which is why the trade cannot…
- Take-Profit Orders Explained A take-profit decides the exit while you are calm, then removes you from the decision. Most of its value comes from that timing.
- Understanding Stop-Limit Orders Two prices in one order: one wakes it up, the other sets the worst fill you will accept. The second is where the risk hides.
- Understanding Slippage The price on your screen is an indication, not a contract. Slippage is the gap between the two, and frequency is what makes it…
- Understanding Leverage and Margin Leverage sets a ceiling on position size. It does not set your risk, and confusing the two is how a deposit disappears in a…
- Reading Candlestick Charts A candle encodes four numbers. Everything else people do with candlesticks is interpretation layered on top, and it is worth…
- Chart Timeframes Explained The timeframe changes nothing about the market and everything about what you see, including how wide your stop has to be.
- Order Book Basics An order book lists every resting order at every price, with the size behind each one. It is a precise picture of current supply…
- Trading Costs: Spreads, Commissions and Fees The quoted price is not the price you transact at. Four separate charges sit between the two, and only one of them shows up as a…
- Demo Accounts and Paper Trading Demo accounts model the mechanics accurately and the consequences not at all. Knowing which half you are testing is the whole…
- Position Sizing Basics Position size is an output, not a choice. Your account, your risk limit and your stop distance decide it, and the arithmetic…
- Risk-Reward Ratio Explained The risk-reward ratio does not tell you whether a trade is good. It tells you how often you have to be right before the…
- Trailing Stop Orders A trailing stop follows price up and never back down. The distance you pick decides everything, and every choice is wrong on…
- Understanding Trading Sessions and Market Hours The same instrument at two different hours is two different trades. What changes is the spread, the depth and whether a break…
- Using Price Alerts and Watchlists Alerts and watchlists buy you the ability to stop watching. They only work if the levels behind them were chosen before the…
Trade journaling and review 14
- Why Keep A Trading Journal Memory is a highlight reel. A journal is the only record that shows what your trading actually did.
- What To Record In Every Trade Entry An entry holding only entry price, exit price and profit cannot answer a single question you will want to ask later.
- Screenshotting And Annotating Your Charts The numbers say the trade was a clean process loss. The entry screenshot often says the level was never really there.
- Tagging Trades By Setup Type An overall result is four or five different things averaged together, and the average hides which of them is paying.
- Tracking Emotional State And Discipline Record the state before you enter. Recorded afterwards, every loss was rushed and every win was calm.
- Calculating Win Rate Versus Risk-Reward Neither figure means anything alone. Expectancy is the one number in your journal that says whether the process pays.
- Reviewing Losing Trades Objectively A loss that followed your plan and a loss that broke it need opposite responses, and mixing them up wrecks working strategies.
- Reviewing Winning Trades For A Repeatable Edge The question a winning trade has to answer is not whether it paid, but whether it would pay again.
- Weekly And Monthly Review Routines A review that happens because you just had a big loss is a review conducted by the loss. Schedule both cadences instead.
- Spotting Patterns Across Your Journal Cut the same trades five different ways and see what survives. The cut almost nobody makes is usually the loudest.
- Journaling Pre-Trade Checklists Recording whether each box was actually ticked turns your discipline from an impression into a column you can measure.
- Tracking Slippage And Execution Quality Log the price you intended beside the price you got. Over a few hundred trades it tells you how much of your edge actually…
- Using Journal Data To Refine Position Sizing The two figures that should set your risk per trade are already in your journal, and neither is in the rule of thumb you started…
- Common Journaling Mistakes To Avoid An incomplete journal is worse than no journal, because it produces numbers that look real and are not.
Building a trading plan 14
- Defining Your Trading Edge An edge is a repeatable reason to expect a favourable outcome across many trades, specific enough that you can count instances…
- Setting Realistic Goals And Expectations A realistic goal is one your expectancy and trade frequency can actually produce, stated as a range wide enough to contain…
- Choosing A Market And Timeframe Focus Narrow the plan to a few instruments you can watch in the same hours, and one timeframe you decide on, for long enough to learn…
- Writing Clear Entry Criteria Rules An entry rule is written well enough when a second person, handed the same chart, marks the same bar as you.
- Exit Rules: Stop Loss And Take-Profit Frameworks Put the stop where the idea is proved wrong, then size the position so that distance costs what the plan allows.
- Position Sizing Models Sizing decides what a single trade can cost, and it moves long-run results more than entry timing does.
- Risk Management Rules At The Portfolio Level Per-trade limits say nothing about how open positions interact, and the gap between the two is larger than most people assume.
- Handling Drawdowns And Losing Streaks Most bad decisions in a drawdown come from mistaking an ordinary sequence of losses for evidence that something has broken.
- Trading Plan Backtesting Basics Applying written rules to old data, mechanically, including every instance you would rather not count.
- Adapting Your Plan To Changing Market Conditions Change the plan when a measurable property of the market has changed, not when the last three trades lost.
- Building Rules Around Trading Sessions And Volatility Which hours your setups are valid in, and what happens to size and stops outside them.
- Defining Your Risk Tolerance And Capital Allocation Fix how much capital belongs in the account and what drawdown ends the experiment, then derive everything else from the second…
- Creating Rules For When Not To Trade The conditions under which you will not open a position, written with the same specificity as your entries.
- Documenting And Reviewing Your Trading Plan Over Time Six sections, a version number, and a dated comparison against what you actually did.
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Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.