Tracking Emotional State And Discipline
Record the state before you enter. Recorded afterwards, every loss was rushed and every win was calm.
Type one word into the journal row before you enter: calm, rushed, chasing, angry or overconfident. Choose it before the outcome is known, because a state recorded afterwards only reflects the result. Once you have 25 to 30 trades in a state, group by that word and compare the plan-followed rate, the average risk taken and the average R across the groups.
What to remember
- Pick the word before the outcome is known. A state recorded afterwards just records whether you won.
- In one measured log, revenge trades averaged 1.9% risk against 0.9% on calm trades, on the worst-performing rows.
- A rare state needs 25 to 30 entries before its average means anything at all.
- The finding is worth only the mechanical rule you attach to it, because judgement is the thing that fails in that state.
Lesson 5 of 14 in Trade journaling and review
One word, typed before the order goes in
Record your state as a single word in the journal row, chosen before you enter: calm, rushed, chasing, angry, or overconfident. That is the whole method. It exists so that when results deteriorate you can tell whether the strategy stopped working or whether you stopped following it, which are opposite problems with opposite fixes.
The word has to be picked before the outcome is known. Asked afterwards, a trader who lost calls the entry rushed and a trader who won calls it calm, and the column turns into a record of results rather than of states.
180 trades sorted by the word in front of them
Six months of one log, grouped by the state field, with the plan-followed column counted alongside.
| State | Trades | Plan followed | Avg risk | Avg R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calm | 112 | 96% | 0.9% | +0.31 |
| Rushed | 34 | 71% | 1.1% | -0.06 |
| Chasing a missed move | 19 | 42% | 1.6% | -0.58 |
| After a loss | 15 | 40% | 1.9% | -0.71 |
The calm rows are the business. They are 62% of the trades and they produce +34.7R. The bottom two rows are 34 trades, just under a fifth of the total, and between them they give back 21.7R, which is roughly two thirds of what the calm trades earned.
Now look at the risk column. The average position on a trade taken after a loss was more than twice the size of a calm one, on the rows with the worst results. That pairing is not a coincidence: size creeps up precisely when the motive is to recover something, which is when the trade least deserves it.
What the two worst rows cost a 5,000 USD account
Put the same distribution on a 5,000 USD account and price every row in percentage points. The fifteen after-a-loss trades, at an average 1.9% risk and an average of -0.71R, cost about 20 points, a little over 1,000 USD, from 8% of the trades in the log. The nineteen chasing trades cost another 18 points. The calm rows earned about 31 points across the same six months, so two states holding 34 of the 180 trades gave back more than the other 146 earned.
None of that is a strategy problem. Nothing about the entry rules changed between the groups. Thirty-four decisions taken in two identifiable states undid a working six months. That is what the state column is for: it converts "I need more discipline" into thirty-four specific rows you can write a rule against, and the drawdown calculator will tell you what removing it is worth at your own numbers.
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Tracking Emotional State And Discipline: questions
How do you track emotional state in a trading journal?
Does recording emotions actually change trading results?
How many trades before the emotion column says anything?
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Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.