Losses and recoveries are not symmetric. A 50% loss needs a 100% gain to undo. This shows the number for your account.
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Recovery gain = drawdown ÷ (1 − drawdown). Down 20%? You need 25% to get back. Down 50%? You need 100%. Down 80%? You need 400%. The requirement accelerates because you are earning it on a smaller base.
A 50% loss on $10,000 leaves $5,000. To get back to $10,000 you have to double the $5,000, a 100% gain. The percentage that took you down was calculated on the larger balance; the percentage that brings you back is calculated on the smaller one. That is the entire mechanism, and it is why the table below bends the way it does.
| Drawdown | Gain required | In practice |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 5.3% | A normal week |
| 10% | 11.1% | Recoverable, uncomfortable |
| 20% | 25% | Most funds' hard risk limit |
| 30% | 42.9% | Months of work to undo |
| 50% | 100% | You must double the account |
| 75% | 300% | Effectively a new account |
| 90% | 900% | Not realistically recoverable |
Drawdown is not something that happens to you; it is a consequence of choices that can be made in advance.
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Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.