Understanding the Cash Flow Statement
Profit is calculated under rules. Cash is a bank balance. When the two diverge for two years running, one of them is describing the business.
The cash flow statement tracks money actually entering and leaving a business, split into operating, investing and financing activities. It differs from reported profit because accounting rules decide when a sale is recognised and how costs are spread, while cash is a bank balance. Free cash flow, operating cash flow minus capital expenditure, is what the business genuinely has available after maintaining its asset base.
What to remember
- £48m of net income can be £11m of free cash, with the gap sitting in unpaid invoices and unsold inventory.
- Receivables and inventory both rising faster than revenue, two years running, is a pattern rather than a timing effect.
- Negative operating cash flow with positive financing cash flow, sustained, means the business is funded from outside itself.
- Cash flow is flattered by stretching supplier terms and by cutting maintenance capex, so average capital expenditure over three to five years.
Lesson 10 of 24 in Fundamental analysis
The cash flow statement records money actually moving in and out of a business, which is a different question from whether it made a profit. Profit is calculated under accounting rules that decide when a sale counts and how a cost is spread. Cash is a bank balance. When the two diverge sharply and stay diverged, the cash statement is usually the one telling the truth.
£48m of profit, £11m of free cash
Take a company reporting £48m of net income for the year and follow the cash.
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Net income | £48m |
| Add back depreciation and amortisation | £22m |
| Increase in receivables | (£31m) |
| Increase in inventory | (£14m) |
| Increase in payables | £6m |
| Operating cash flow | £31m |
| Capital expenditure | (£20m) |
| Free cash flow | £11m |
The headline said £48m. The business generated £11m it could actually use. The gap is almost entirely working capital: £31m more is owed by customers than last year and £14m more is sitting in a warehouse. Both were recognised as revenue or held at cost, and neither is money in the bank.
That pattern has a specific interpretation. Receivables rising much faster than revenue usually means the company is selling on looser terms to keep the sales number growing, or that customers are struggling to pay. Inventory rising faster than revenue usually means product is not selling as fast as it is being made. Either can be a temporary timing effect. Both, in the same year, for a second consecutive year, is a pattern worth taking seriously.
Note what depreciation is doing in that table. It was subtracted when profit was calculated because the assets are wearing out, but no money left the building this year. The money left years ago when the equipment was bought, and it appears further down as capital expenditure. Adding £22m back and then subtracting £20m of capex is the statement asking a sharper version of the same question: is the company spending more or less than the rate at which its asset base is being consumed? Here it is spending slightly less, which is fine for a year and a problem for a decade.
The three sections, and the combination to worry about
- Operating. Cash from running the business. Should be positive and, over time, comfortably larger than net income because depreciation is added back.
- Investing. Usually negative in a growing company, because it is buying equipment and making acquisitions. Positive investing cash flow often means the company sold something, which is worth knowing about.
- Financing. Borrowing, repayment, share issues, buybacks and dividends. Persistently positive financing cash flow means the business is funded from outside rather than by itself.
The combination that should stop you is negative operating cash flow paired with positive financing cash flow, sustained across several years. It means the business consumes cash and borrows or issues shares to cover the gap. That is a normal and reasonable position for an early-stage company that has said so. It is a different thing entirely in a mature business reporting steady accounting profits.
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Understanding the Cash Flow Statement: questions
Can a profitable company run out of cash?
Why is depreciation added back to net income?
What is a healthy free cash flow figure?
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