Demo Accounts and Paper Trading
Demo accounts model the mechanics accurately and the consequences not at all. Knowing which half you are testing is the whole skill.
A demo account lets you place simulated trades with virtual funds at real or near-real prices. It is reliable for learning a platform, practising order types and checking whether a method produces enough setups. It is unreliable as evidence of results, because fills, spreads and slippage are modelled rather than real, and because no simulator reproduces the behaviour of a person with their own money at stake.
What to remember
- A headline demo return is mostly a sizing artefact. The same twenty trades return about 7.5% at 1% risk and about 80% at 10%.
- Demo fills are calculations, not trades. Slippage, requotes and finite depth are usually absent, which flatters anything sensitive to execution.
- Set the demo balance to your real intended capital, so the position sizes you practise are the ones you will actually place.
- Four weeks with a fixed risk rule and a full log beats six months of unstructured clicking, then move to the smallest live size rather than extending.
Lesson 11 of 16 in Orders and execution
Why an 80% demo month usually means 10% risk per trade
A demo account, also called paper trading, lets you place simulated trades with virtual funds against real or near-real market prices. Nothing is at stake, which is the source of both its usefulness and every one of its distortions.
Start with the distortion, because it is the one that sends people to a live account with the wrong expectations. Take a $10,000 demo, twenty trades over a month, eleven of them winners at 1.5 times the amount risked. That is 16.5 units of profit against 9 of loss, a net of 7.5 units. Size those units at 1% of the account and the month returns about 7.5%, which is a very good month. Size them at 10% and the same twenty trades, in the same order, return about 80% once the compounding is counted.
The trading was identical. The only thing that changed was the sizing, and the person posting the screenshot almost always believes the first number described their skill. Put the same sizing through a losing run and the asymmetry shows: six consecutive losses at 10% leaves $5,314, which now needs an 88% gain to get back to flat. At 1% the same six losses leave $9,415, needing 6.2%. The drawdown calculator makes that recovery maths uncomfortably clear.
Six in a row is not an unusual event either. At a 45% win rate the probability of losing six straight is 0.55 to the sixth power, about 2.8%, and across a hundred trades you get ninety-five overlapping chances at it. The risk of ruin calculator is the honest version of this conversation.
What a demo does reproduce faithfully
The mechanics, and they are worth a fortnight of your time. Specifically:
- The platform. Where the order ticket lives, how to attach a stop and target to an entry, how to modify a position, what the margin readout means. Learning this with real money attached is an expensive way to discover that you clicked sell instead of buy.
- Order types. The behavioural difference between a market order, a limit, a stop and a stop-limit is identical in a simulator. So is what happens when you set a pending order on the wrong side of price and the platform refuses it.
- Your own rules. Whether a method produces enough setups to be worth trading, whether you can actually identify them in real time rather than on a finished chart, and how long you sit waiting. That last one surprises people.
Testing an idea across a few weeks of live conditions also catches the obvious structural problems: a strategy that only fires during hours you are asleep, or one that needs a stop so wide that the position size becomes negligible.
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Demo Accounts and Paper Trading: questions
How long should you paper trade before going live?
Why do demo results differ so much from live results?
Is demo trading a waste of time?
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Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.