Classic Chart Patterns Explained
A recognisable shape is a hypothesis with a measurable risk attached, and measuring it before entry is most of what makes patterns worth using.
Chart patterns are shapes formed by price over time that traders use to frame a hypothesis about continuation or reversal. A head and shoulders with a head at 0.9120 and a neckline at 0.8950 has a 170-pip height, giving a measured target of 0.8780 from the break and a stop above the right shoulder. Measuring the pattern before entry is what turns a shape into a trade.
What to remember
- A textbook pattern is not automatically a good trade. The worked head and shoulders offers 155 pips of reward against 130 of risk.
- The measured move projects the pattern height from the breakout, which gives a target proportional to the structure rather than a round number.
- Two traders draw two necklines, and on a small pattern that 20-pip difference can flip the trade from viable to not.
- A failed pattern only costs one planned loss if the invalidation was a specific price written down before entry.
Lesson 10 of 24 in Trading strategies
A head and shoulders, priced out from neckline to target
Chart patterns are shapes price draws over days or weeks that traders use to frame a hypothesis about what happens next. The most useful way to understand them is to see one measured, because the measurement is what turns a shape into a trade with a defined risk.
USD/CHF forms a left shoulder at 0.9050, a head at 0.9120, a right shoulder at 0.9055, with the neckline running across the two intervening lows at roughly 0.8950. The pattern height is the distance from the head to the neckline: 170 pips. The conventional measured target is that height projected down from the break, giving 0.8780.
- Entry on a close below the neckline, say 0.8935.
- Stop above the right shoulder at 0.9065, which is 130 pips away and is the price at which the pattern has plainly failed.
- Target 0.8780, which is 155 pips of reward against 130 of risk.
That ratio is just under 1.2 to 1, which is worth noticing. A textbook pattern does not automatically produce an attractive trade, and the only honest way to know is to measure it before entering rather than after. Patterns with the stop tucked closer to the neckline improve the ratio and increase the chance of being shaken out by a normal retest.
Reversal shapes and what each one is describing
- Head and shoulders. Three pushes, the middle one highest, the third failing to match it. It describes buyers running out of capacity to make new highs.
- Double top and double bottom. Two attempts at the same level, both rejected. Shorter to form and easier to misidentify, since two touches of a level is also just a range.
- Rounding tops and bottoms. A gradual change of slope with no single decisive moment, which makes entry timing awkward and the stop expensive.
Continuation shapes and the pause they record
Flags, pennants and triangles describe a market catching its breath. After a sharp directional move, price consolidates in a tight, often counter-sloping range while positions change hands, then frequently resumes in the original direction.
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Classic Chart Patterns Explained: questions
What is the most reliable chart pattern?
How do you calculate a chart pattern target?
Why do chart patterns fail so often?
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