The Measured Move Pattern
Two legs of similar size, and the assumption quietly powering almost every pattern target you have ever used.
A measured move, or AB=CD, is a structure of two similarly sized directional legs separated by a corrective pause: leg AB, correction BC, then leg CD expected to travel roughly the same distance as AB. Adding the AB distance to point C gives the projected objective D. The same symmetry assumption underlies the target conventions used for flags, triangles, rectangles and head and shoulders patterns.
What to remember
- Every measured target in charting is this pattern with different labels, which means every one rests on an assumption of symmetry rather than on something the market promised.
- It gives you a target, not an entry. Using it means positioning inside a correction whose end you are estimating.
- Legs of 0.7 and 1.6 times the first are both common, so treat D as a zone and take partial profit into it.
- Its best use is answering one question early: is there enough room in this trade to be worth taking at all?
Lesson 19 of 22 in Chart patterns
A measured move, often written AB=CD, is a structure of two similarly sized directional legs separated by a corrective pause. The first leg runs from A to B, the correction runs from B to C, and the second leg from C to D is expected to travel roughly the same distance as the first. It matters far beyond its own name, because it is the engine behind almost every measured target in classical charting.
The general case behind every pattern target
Look at the target conventions used elsewhere and the same idea appears each time. A flag projects the pole from the breakout. A head and shoulders projects the head-to-neckline distance below the break. A triangle projects its height. A rectangle projects its range. Every one of those is a measured move with the legs labelled differently.
Understanding that has a practical payoff. Once you know all of these rest on an assumption of symmetry between two legs, you can stop treating a projected target as something the pattern knows and start treating it as something the convention assumes. The assumption is reasonable, because markets that move in one direction tend to do so in comparable units of effort. It is not a law, and the number it produces is a planning reference rather than a level price owes anyone.
AB=CD on EUR/USD, step by step
Say EUR/USD rises from 1.0700 (A) to 1.0840 (B), a 140 pip leg. It then corrects 61.8 percent of that move to 1.0754 (C). The measured projection adds the AB distance to C: 1.0754 plus 140 pips gives 1.0894 as D. The Fibonacci calculator produces both the retracement and the projection from the same two swing points.
The structure gives you a target, not an entry, and that distinction is where most of the practical difficulty sits. To use it you have to be positioned before C is finished, which means acting inside a correction whose end you are guessing at. If you buy at 1.0762 with a stop at 1.0736 below the correction low, that is 26 pips of risk for 132 pips to D, which prices well precisely because you accepted the uncertainty about where C ends.
Run the objective through the profit calculator at your intended size before you commit. A measured move's real usefulness is answering one question early: is there enough room in this trade to be worth taking at all? If D sits 30 pips away and your stop has to be 25, the structure has already told you to leave it.
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The Measured Move Pattern: questions
How do you calculate a measured move target?
Is AB=CD the same as a measured move?
How deep should the BC correction be?
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