Leverage And Liquidation Risk In Crypto
Leverage does not change whether you are right. It changes how far price can move against you before someone else closes the trade.
Leverage lets you hold a position larger than your deposited margin, and liquidation is the exchange closing that position when losses reduce your margin below its maintenance requirement. The adverse move needed is roughly 100% divided by the leverage multiple, so 10x liquidates near a 10% move and 25x near 4%. Maintenance margin and fees bring the trigger closer still.
What to remember
- The move that liquidates you is about 100 divided by your leverage. At 25x that is 4%, which bitcoin covers in a normal afternoon.
- Maintenance margin fires before your equity reaches zero, and on larger positions the requirement rises in tiers, moving the trigger toward you as you scale up.
- Liquidations are forced market orders, so they consume depth and trigger further liquidations. That is what produces vertical candles with no news attached.
- Cross margin lets one position draw on the whole balance. Isolated margin caps the loss at the amount you assigned, which is what a beginner wants.
Step 7 of 10 on Crypto Trading Path
Leverage sets the distance to zero and nothing else
Leverage lets you control a position larger than the capital you posted, by borrowing the difference from the exchange or broker. It does not change whether your idea is right. It does not change the probability of anything. It changes exactly one number: how far the price has to move against you before the position is closed by someone other than you.
That closure is liquidation. Losses are deducted from the margin backing the position, and when the remaining margin falls below the venue's maintenance requirement, the exchange closes the position to protect itself from a negative balance. You are not consulted, and what is left of the margin is usually very little.
At 25x, a 4% move ends the position
The rough arithmetic is one division: the adverse move that wipes your margin is approximately 100% divided by the leverage multiple. Maintenance margin and fees pull the real trigger slightly closer than that, so the table below is optimistic, not pessimistic.
| Leverage | Position on 1,000 USD margin | Adverse move to liquidation | Typical bitcoin time to cover that range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 2,000 USD | about 50% | a full bear market |
| 5x | 5,000 USD | about 20% | a bad fortnight |
| 10x | 10,000 USD | about 10% | a bad day |
| 25x | 25,000 USD | about 4% | a normal afternoon |
| 100x | 100,000 USD | about 1% | minutes |
Read the right-hand column against what you already know about crypto volatility. Bitcoin covers 3% to 5% in an ordinary day. So a 25x position is a bet that an ordinary day does not happen while you hold it, and a 100x position is a bet that the next few minutes are quiet. Neither is a view on price. Both are bets on the timing of noise. The leverage calculator and the margin calculator will give you the exact figures for a venue's requirements rather than the rounded ones above.
Maintenance margin brings the trigger closer than you calculated
The 100-divided-by-leverage rule assumes you are liquidated when your margin reaches zero. No exchange waits that long. Each sets a maintenance margin requirement, often between 0.5% and 5% of notional depending on the asset and the position size, and liquidation fires when equity falls to that level.
On a 10x position with a 1% maintenance requirement, the move that liquidates you is not 10% but closer to 9%. There is usually a liquidation fee on top, taken from what remains. And on larger positions the maintenance requirement often rises in tiers, so the trader who scales up finds the trigger moving toward them as they add. Read the venue's tier table before sizing, because the effective leverage at the top of a tier is not the number displayed on the slider.
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Leverage And Liquidation Risk In Crypto: questions
What price gets a leveraged crypto position liquidated?
What is the difference between cross and isolated margin?
How much leverage should a crypto trader use?
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