Commodities & indices · Intermediate

Seasonality In Commodity Markets

A 1-minute lesson from the MarketPro academy, one of 16 in commodities and indices.

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Short answer

Many commodities are tied to physical production and consumption cycles that repeat annually, giving rise to observed seasonal patterns in price behavior. These patterns are tendencies based on historical observation, not guarantees of future price direction.

Many commodities are tied to physical production and consumption cycles that repeat annually, giving rise to observed seasonal patterns in price behavior. These patterns are tendencies based on historical observation, not guarantees of future price direction.

Examples Of Seasonal Drivers

  • Agricultural commodities are affected by planting and harvest cycles, with supply typically increasing after harvest periods.
  • Energy commodities like natural gas can see demand shifts tied to seasonal heating or cooling needs in different regions.
  • Weather events, which vary by season and region, can disrupt production or transportation of physical commodities.

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