Commodities & indices · Intermediate

Contango And Backwardation Explained

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Short answer

Commodity futures with different expiry dates do not all trade at the same price. The relationship between near-term and longer-dated contract prices is described using two terms: contango and backwardation.

Commodity futures with different expiry dates do not all trade at the same price. The relationship between near-term and longer-dated contract prices is described using two terms: contango and backwardation.

Contango

In contango, longer-dated futures contracts trade at a higher price than near-term contracts. This often reflects the cost of storing a physical commodity over time, plus financing costs, being priced into contracts further out.

Backwardation

In backwardation, longer-dated contracts trade at a lower price than near-term contracts. This can occur when there is strong immediate demand or concern about near-term supply shortages, making buyers willing to pay a premium for the commodity now rather than later.

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