USD/JPY signals

USD/JPY signals, with every result on record

MarketPro has published and closed 19 USD/JPY signals since June 2024. 12 reached at least the first target, 7 hit the stop first. Every one is on this page, the losing trades included.

Last reviewed by the MarketPro research desk · Editorial policy

Closed signals

19

since June 2024

Win rate

63.2%

12 of 19 reached TP1
Break-even at this ratio: 39.3%

Net result

+413 pips

+663 won, −250 lost

Average win / loss

+55 / −36

1.55 to 1 reward to risk

Figures measured from the live signal database on . Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Losses
7 stopped before any target
No result
0 closed early or expired, counted against the rate
Furthest target reached
TP1 7 · TP2 3 · TP3 2
Buy / sell
Buy 9, 56% won Sell 10, 70% won
Profit factor
2.65
Max drawdown
−93 pips peak to trough of the running total
Longest losing run
2 in a row
Median time open
10h 31m
Best signal
+195 pips 30 Jul 2024
Worst signal
−59 pips 5 Sep 2024
Running total, in pipsEach point is one closed signal, in the order it closed. Hover or use the arrow keys for detail.
June 2024September 2026
Recent signals

The 12 most recent USD/JPY signals

Newest first, in the order they closed, whatever the outcome. Nothing is picked out: the rest are in the full log below.

16 Sep 2026

1H · Breakout

Sell
Entry
155.014
Stop
155.280 hit
TP1
154.851
TP2
154.714
TP3
154.434

Stopped out −27 pips

Published 16 Sep 2026, 07:03 UTC · closed after 6h 15m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY broke below its coil low (155.02) with a decisive expansion bar while both the 4h and daily trends are bearish, a continuation short. Original levels put TP1 only ~7 pips out, under our floor, so I widened the stop above yesterday's high (155.28) and set TP1 at 154.85 (~0.5x the stop) with runners to 154.71 and 154.43, all with clean air below. Note: the Fed rate decision and projections land at 18:00 UTC, this idea is meant to resolve intraday before that event, which would add volatility to any position still open.

14 Sep 2026

1H · Range fade

Sell
Entry
154.675
Stop
155.244 hit
TP1
154.457 reached
TP2
154.194 reached
TP3
153.669

TP2 reached, then stopped +48 pips

Published 14 Sep 2026, 15:03 UTC · closed after 1d 9h

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY is rejecting the top of a broad, well-tested range (154.998) with RSI hooking down from overbought (74 to 65). This fade runs WITH the bearish 4h/1d trend, which lowers breakout-through-edge risk, and the edge has been tested repeatedly. TP1 sits at a tight ~0.4x of stop distance with clean air below, targeting a move back toward the range interior. Risks: the range-fade class has bled R recently, and the book already holds JPY-long exposure (GBPJPY/NZDJPY shorts). Only low-impact USD bill auctions ahead. Educational idea, not advice.

10 Sep 2026

1H · Range fade · Limit order

Sell
Entry
154.050
Stop
154.700 hit
TP1
153.730 reached
TP2
153.400 reached
TP3
152.850

TP2 reached, then stopped +65 pips

Published 10 Sep 2026, 15:18 UTC · closed after 3d 19h

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY is fading the upper edge of a broad H1 range (152.94-154.65) after rejecting near 154.65 and hooking RSI down from ~68. We wait with a sell limit at 154.05 for a bounce back toward the edge for a cleaner fill, stop just above the range high at 154.70. Targets step down inside the range. Note the daily trend is only partially bearish and this fade class has been a modest R-bleeder recently, so position sizing should be conservative. Broad yen strength (USDJPY testing lower) supports the short bias.

8 Sep 2026

1H · Breakout · Limit order

Sell
Entry
153.827
Stop
154.275
TP1
153.603 reached
TP2
153.379 reached
TP3
152.931 reached

TP3 reached +90 pips

Published 8 Sep 2026, 00:04 UTC · closed after 2h 20m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USD/JPY broke down out of its coil and through the 20-day low (154.05) into fresh lows, with yen strength (intervention/GDP theme) supporting continuation. We fade the current dip with a sell-limit back near the broken level (153.827) for a better fill; stop sits above the coil at 154.275. TP1 at half the stop distance targets the clean air below. Risks: daily trend is only partially bearish and the desk already holds several JPY-long positions, so size accordingly. This is an educational idea, not advice.

1 Sep 2026

1H · Range fade

Sell
Entry
160.077
Stop
160.323 hit
TP1
159.937
TP2
159.816
TP3
159.562

Stopped out −25 pips

Published 1 Sep 2026, 15:03 UTC · closed after 10h 31m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY has pushed into the well-tested upper range edge (160.206) and rejected, printing a bar that closed back inside with RSI hooking down from 67 to 61. This is a mean-reversion short back toward the range interior, with the stop just above the edge and a tight first target for a high-touch-probability TP1. Risk to flag: recent price has driven up hard on rising-yield USD headlines calling for a breakout, so if 160.21 gives way this fade fails quickly, the stop sits above that level for that reason. Sized modestly given a mixed higher-timeframe picture.

17 Aug 2026

1H · Range fade

Sell
Entry
159.503
Stop
159.731 hit
TP1
159.360 reached
TP2
159.275
TP3
159.050

TP1 reached, then stopped +14 pips

Published 17 Aug 2026, 20:15 UTC · closed after 8h 16m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY is rejecting the top of a well-defined ~100-pip range (edge tested a dozen times) with RSI hooking down hard from overbought (71 to 61). The trade fades back inside the range. Stop sits above the range high/5d high; TP1 is set to clear the pip floor at roughly 0.6x the stop with clean air below, TP2/TP3 deeper inside the range. Note the h4 trend is still mildly bullish, so this is a counter-momentum mean-reversion idea, the setup dies if 159.60 breaks. Low-impact JGB auction overnight is not a concern for a NY-session entry.

5 Aug 2026

1H · Trend pullback · Stop order

Sell
Entry
157.558
Stop
158.092 hit
TP1
157.291
TP2
157.024
TP3
156.490

Stopped out −53 pips

Published 5 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · closed after 1d 13h

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY short pullback: H4 bearish with partial-bearish daily, RSI hooked back below 50 (53.5 to 48.3) after a bounce to 157.81. Entered on a sellStop below the confirmation bar to require continuation rather than fading into strength. Stop above the pullback high at 158.09; TP1 at 157.29 (0.5x the stop distance) sits just ahead of the prior support cluster with clean air. Risks: the 36-bar picture shows net upside so this is a trend-resumption bet, engine track record on this pair is thin, and Asian-session liquidity is light. Sized modestly in confidence for that reason.

29 Jul 2026

1H · Range fade · Limit order

Buy
Entry
163.513
Stop
163.085 hit
TP1
163.727 reached
TP2
163.941
TP3
164.369

TP1 reached, then stopped +21 pips

Published 29 Jul 2026, 20:30 UTC · closed after 13h 43m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY is fading the lower edge of a well-tested range (163.23-163.95) after RSI dropped to ~35 and hooked back up, with the 4h/1d bias also bullish supporting the bounce. Entry sits as a limit near the recent close, stop below the range floor, TP1 at half the stop distance and TP2 just inside the upper edge. Risks: the hook is only mid-40s rather than a deep extreme, this pair's recent engine longs have struggled, and a high-impact JPY release lands early tomorrow, the order expires before it. Treat as an educational idea, not advice.

15 Jul 2026

1H

Buy
Entry
162.214
Stop
161.968 hit
TP1
162.337
TP2
162.460
TP3
162.706

Stopped out −25 pips

Published 15 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · closed after 3h 25m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY holds a bullish 4h and daily stack and has pulled back into the EMA zone, with a fresh RSI hook up from 46 toward 50 on the confirmation bar. TP1 sits at half the stop distance (~12 pips), a realistic first target given USDJPY's strong TP1-touch record. Risks flagged: the RSI hook has not yet cleared 50, price is coiling just below the 2024 high resistance which caps upside, and a recent long here stopped out. Medium-impact US events (EIA, Fed speakers, Beige Book) are ahead but none high-impact imminent. Modest confidence.

14 Jul 2026

1H

Buy
Entry
162.318
Stop
162.073 hit
TP1
162.423
TP2
162.539
TP3
162.772

Stopped out −25 pips

Published 14 Jul 2026, 04:30 UTC · closed after 7h 60m

Free signalAI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDJPY is in an established uptrend with aligned bullish 4h and daily structure, and price pulled back into the EMA zone before turning up. Long targets TP1 near half the stop distance, consistent with the tight-TP1 shape and USDJPY's solid base rate. The RSI hook is only mild (52), so momentum is building rather than strong. Note high-impact US CPI at 12:30 UTC, several hours out, but manage risk if the trade is still open into it. Educational information, not investment advice.

17 Feb 2025

Sell
Entry
151.730
Stop
152.130 hit
TP1
151.330 reached
TP2
151.130
TP3
150.930

TP1 reached, then stopped +40 pips

Published 17 Feb 2025, 09:04 UTC · closed after 18h 56m

13 Feb 2025

Buy
Entry
153.400
Stop
153.100 hit
TP1
154.000 reached
TP2
154.500
TP3
154.850

TP1 reached, then stopped +60 pips

Published 13 Feb 2025, 10:41 UTC · closed after 5h 15m

Full log

Every USD/JPY signal

All 19, newest first. Pips follow the counting rules further down the page.

All 19 closed USD/JPY signals, newest first
ClosedDirectionEntryStopOutcomePips
16 Sep 2026 Sell 155.014 155.280 ✕ Stop −27
15 Sep 2026 Sell 154.675 155.244 ✓ TP2, then stop +48
14 Sep 2026 Sell 154.050 154.700 ✓ TP2, then stop +65
8 Sep 2026 Sell 153.827 154.275 ✓ TP3 +90
2 Sep 2026 Sell 160.077 160.323 ✕ Stop −25
18 Aug 2026 Sell 159.503 159.731 ✓ TP1, then stop +14
6 Aug 2026 Sell 157.558 158.092 ✕ Stop −53
30 Jul 2026 Buy 163.513 163.085 ✓ TP1, then stop +21
15 Jul 2026 Buy 162.214 161.968 ✕ Stop −25
14 Jul 2026 Buy 162.318 162.073 ✕ Stop −25
18 Feb 2025 Sell 151.730 152.130 ✓ TP1, then stop +40
13 Feb 2025 Buy 153.400 153.100 ✓ TP1, then stop +60
23 Sep 2024 Sell 140.855 141.260 ✓ TP1 +26
13 Sep 2024 Buy 143.423 143.019 ✓ TP1 +28
13 Sep 2024 Buy 142.580 142.130 ✓ TP1 +19
5 Sep 2024 Buy 143.562 142.973 ✕ Stop −59
30 Jul 2024 Sell 154.625 155.480 ✓ TP3 +195
30 Jul 2024 Buy 154.909 154.546 ✕ Stop −36
12 Jun 2024 Buy 156.834 156.475 ✓ TP2, then stop +57

About USD/JPY

USD/JPY is the price of one US dollar in Japanese yen. Driven above all by the gap between US and Japanese bond yields. Bank of Japan policy shifts and the risk of official intervention can move it sharply in either direction.

The central banks behind it are the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, and it tends to be most active during the New York and Tokyo sessions. MarketPro measures it in pips of 0.01. The most recent winning signal was a sell from 154.675 that reached TP2 at 154.194, a move of 48 pips.

Before acting on any USD/JPY signal, size it from the stop with the position size calculator, so the loss if it fails is an amount you chose.

How these numbers are counted

  • A win is a signal that reached at least its first take-profit. It is counted at the furthest target it reached, so a signal that touched TP2 is worth the distance to TP2. A stop touched after a target does not turn a win into a loss. 7 wins in this record did touch the stop after their last target; a trader who held the whole position past that target would have given some back.
  • A loss is a signal that hit its stop before any target. It costs the full original stop distance, even where the stop was later moved closer.
  • No result means a signal closed early before any level, or a pending order expired unfilled. These count against the win rate, which is wins divided by every closed signal, and add nothing to the pip total.
  • Pips are measured from the published prices: 0.0001 on most pairs, 0.01 on yen pairs and silver, 0.1 on gold. No spread, commission or slippage is deducted, and your own result depends on your entry, your position size and how you exit.
  • Break-even is the win rate a record with the same average win and average loss would need just to finish flat: 1 ÷ (1 + average win ÷ average loss). A win rate means little without it.

This is the same scoring the app uses for its own track record, so the numbers here and in the app agree.

The record has three sources, and all three are included, because leaving one out would be choosing the record rather than reporting it. In 2024, 35 signals came from a human analyst desk that no longer operates. From March 2024 to February 2026, signals came from an earlier automated system. Since 14 Jul 2026, every signal comes from the current engine, which scans for setups and puts each candidate through an AI review before it can be published. Nothing was published between February 2026 and July 2026. The current engine's figures are also shown on their own, so it can be judged separately.

The whole record, and the current engine on its own
ClosedWin rateNet pipsAvg win / lossBreak-even
All time, since June 2024 19 63.2% +413 +55 / −36 39.3%
Current engine, since 14 Jul 2026 10 50.0% +83 +48 / −31 39.4%

Trading foreign exchange and other leveraged instruments carries a high level of risk and can result in the loss of some or all of your capital. Signals and educational content provided in MarketPro are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to trade. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and seek independent advice if necessary.

Written and reviewed by the MarketPro research desk

MarketPro is a trading-signal and trading-education app operated by Harajuku Holdings LTD (Cyprus). Our signal desk publishes and tracks every trade idea in-app, and every page here is checked against the app's live behaviour before publishing. Last reviewed . How we produce signals and content · About MarketPro

FAQ

USD/JPY signals: common questions

What is MarketPro's USD/JPY win rate?
Across 19 closed USD/JPY signals from June 2024 to September 2026, 12 reached at least the first take-profit, a win rate of 63.2%. 7 hit the stop before any target. The average win was 55 pips and the average loss 36, so a record with that ratio breaks even at 39.3%. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Does MarketPro show its losing USD/JPY signals?
Yes. 7 USD/JPY signals hit the stop before reaching a target, and each is in the full log on this page with its entry, stop and result in pips.
How often are USD/JPY signals published?
19 signals have closed since June 2024, the latest on 16 Sep 2026. There is no fixed schedule: a signal is published only when a setup passes both the engine scan and the review, so some weeks carry several and some carry none.
Are USD/JPY signals free?
Every account gets free signals each week, drawn from the whole feed, so a free one can be USD/JPY or any other covered market. 3 signals on this page went out free. Premium unlocks every live signal, and free premium days can be earned through referrals and in-app rewards.
How big is a pip on USD/JPY?
MarketPro measures USD/JPY in pips of 0.01, so a move from 155.010 to 155.110 is 10 pips. What a pip is worth in money depends on your position size; the pip calculator works it out.
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Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.