USD/CAD signals

USD/CAD signals, with every result on record

MarketPro has published and closed 33 USD/CAD signals since May 2024. 22 reached at least the first target, 10 hit the stop first and 1 closed with no result. Every one is on this page, the losing trades included.

Last reviewed by the MarketPro research desk · Editorial policy

Closed signals

33

since May 2024

Win rate

66.7%

22 of 33 reached TP1
Break-even at this ratio: 38.5%

Net result

+834 pips

+1,166 won, −332 lost

Average win / loss

+53 / −33

1.60 to 1 reward to risk

Figures measured from the live signal database on . Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Losses
10 stopped before any target
No result
1 closed early or expired, counted against the rate
Furthest target reached
TP1 5 · TP2 7 · TP3 10
Buy / sell
Buy 24, 71% won Sell 9, 56% won
Profit factor
3.51
Max drawdown
−106 pips peak to trough of the running total
Longest losing run
3 in a row
Median time open
1d 2h
Best signal
+133 pips 3 Mar 2025
Worst signal
−40 pips 17 Jul 2025
Running total, in pipsEach point is one closed signal, in the order it closed. Hover or use the arrow keys for detail.
May 2024September 2026
Recent signals

The 12 most recent USD/CAD signals

Newest first, in the order they closed, whatever the outcome. Nothing is picked out: the rest are in the full log below.

9 Sep 2026

1H · Range fade

Sell
Entry
1.38036
Stop
1.38305 hit
TP1
1.37894
TP2
1.37784
TP3
1.37522

Stopped out −27 pips

Published 9 Sep 2026, 22:03 UTC · closed after 14h 35m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD is fading the upper edge of a well-defined, heavily-tested H1 range (both edges touched 8 times). RSI has hooked down from 65 toward the interior, and 4h structure is bearish, supporting a short back inside the range. Stop sits above the range high at 1.38305; TP1 was nudged to clear the pip floor at roughly half the stop distance, TP2 stays inside the range. Caveats: the daily bias is only partially bearish (not the fully-aligned setup that has earned for this pattern), and this is Sydney rollover with thinner liquidity and wider spreads. Manage risk accordingly.

7 Sep 2026

1H · Breakout

Sell
Entry
1.38113
Stop
1.38320
TP1
1.37970 reached
TP2
1.37910 reached
TP3
1.37700 reached

TP3 reached +41 pips

Published 7 Sep 2026, 14:33 UTC · closed after 23h 53m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD broke below the 1.3815 coil floor after a clean multi-bar H1 selloff, with the 4h stack bearish and price under the 200EMA. This is a continuation short. The scanner's original stop and TP1 were far too tight (TP1 only ~3.6 pips), so levels are rebuilt: stop above the recent minor swing at 1.3832, TP1 ~14 pips into open air toward the 5d low, then extensions. Note the daily trend is only partially bearish, so this is a with-momentum but not fully HTF-confirmed trade, manage the runner accordingly.

4 Sep 2026

1H · Range fade · Limit order

Sell
Entry
1.38555
Stop
1.38886
TP1
1.38390
TP2
1.38224
TP3
1.37893

Order expired before the entry was reached

Published 4 Sep 2026, 15:04 UTC · closed after 5h 1m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD spiked into the top of a well-tested 1h range (1.38718) on strong US payrolls, then rejected sharply with RSI hooking down from 77. This is a mean-reversion short back toward the range interior, entered on a limit up near the rejected edge for a cleaner fill; TP1 sits at 0.5x the stop, which parks above the range top for structure. Risks: it's a USD-bullish news day and the daily bias is only partially bearish, so the edge could get retested, the stop is placed above the range high accordingly. Trade dies if 1.38718 breaks.

31 Aug 2026

1H · Range fade

Buy
Entry
1.38575
Stop
1.38332
TP1
1.38735 reached
TP2
1.38862 reached
TP3
1.39127 reached

TP3 reached +55 pips

Published 31 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC · closed after 1d 6h

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD is fading the lower boundary of a well-tested H1 range with RSI turning up from oversold (30 to 35) and minimal drift into the interior, the profile that has earned on this strategy. Long from ~1.3860, stop below the range floor at 1.38332. TP1 nudged to 1.38735 to clear the pip floor at roughly half the stop distance, with runners toward 1.38862 and 1.39127. Note the daily picture leans bearish and price arrived here on a sharp drop, so a clean break of the lower edge invalidates the bounce, manage risk if the floor gives way.

28 Aug 2026

1H · Range fade

Buy
Entry
1.38543
Stop
1.38346
TP1
1.38681 reached
TP2
1.38727 reached
TP3
1.38908 reached

TP3 reached +37 pips

Published 28 Aug 2026, 02:15 UTC · closed after 12h 11m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD is fading the lower edge of a well-tested ~5.6-ATR range (1.3845 base, touched 14 times). RSI has hooked up from 31.6 to 40.6, and price is sitting right at the edge with almost no drift into the interior, the clean at-edge profile these fades earn on. The original TP1 was under the pip floor, so I widened the stop below the range low and pushed TP1 out; targets stay inside the range. Note CAD GDP (12:30) and USD sentiment (14:00) are high-impact later today, this is intended to resolve in the Asian/London window before then. Mean-reversion idea that fails if 1.3845 breaks down…

24 Aug 2026

1H · Range fade · Limit order

Sell
Entry
1.38332
Stop
1.38566 hit
TP1
1.38185
TP2
1.38100
TP3
1.37864

Stopped out −23 pips

Published 24 Aug 2026, 10:30 UTC · closed after 6h 51m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD is rejecting the top of a wide, well-tested range near 1.38439 with RSI hooking down from overbought (77 to 71). Both the 4h and daily trends lean bearish, aligning higher timeframes with this fade, the profile that has earned on this pair-direction before. We sell on a small retrace, stop sits safely above the range edge, and targets step down into the range interior. TP1 was nudged out to clear the minimum distance floor. Note: we already hold a CAD-long via an open EURCAD short, so this adds correlated CAD exposure. A break above 1.38566 invalidates the idea.

18 Aug 2026

1H · Range fade

Sell
Entry
1.38991
Stop
1.39193
TP1
1.38851 reached
TP2
1.38790 reached
TP3
1.38590 reached

TP3 reached +40 pips

Published 18 Aug 2026, 20:31 UTC · closed after 16h 18m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD is rejecting the top of a well-defined 1.3910/1.3845 range with RSI hooking sharply down from overbought (77 to 62), a classic mean-reversion fade back into the range. Stop sits just above the range edge at 1.39193; targets step down toward the interior. Note the US-Canada tariff deadline in the news flow and thin late-NY liquidity, the trade dies if 1.3910 breaks decisively, so keep risk defined. Educational idea, not advice.

12 Aug 2026

1H · Range fade

Sell
Entry
1.39425
Stop
1.39625
TP1
1.39285 reached
TP2
1.39225 reached
TP3
1.39115 reached

TP3 reached +31 pips

Published 12 Aug 2026, 20:31 UTC · closed after 1d 9h

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD is fading the top of a well-defined range (upper ~1.3947, tested ~10 times) with RSI hooking down from 62 and the 4h trend bearish. We short into the interior for a mean-reversion move. The scanner's TP1 was too tight to clear our minimum target distance, so the stop is widened just above the range edge and TP1 shifted to keep the shape valid. Risk: the USD rallied on today's CPI, so a fresh USD push could break the edge and stop this out, this is a counter-momentum bounce, not a trend trade.

23 Jul 2026

1H · Range fade · Limit order

Buy
Entry
1.40649
Stop
1.40479
TP1
1.40769 reached
TP2
1.40819 reached
TP3
1.40989 reached

TP3 reached +34 pips

Published 23 Jul 2026, 05:30 UTC · closed after 10h 3m

AI-reviewed

Why it was published

USDCAD is fading the lower edge of a well-tested 52-pip range (lower ~1.4059, touched 3x) with RSI at a deep 31.9 hooking back up, and the daily trend is bullish behind the bounce, the proven deep-extreme fade profile. The original TP1 was too tight to clear the pip floor, so the stop is set below the range low (~17 pips) and TP1 sits at 1.40769 with the runners staying inside the range. Note CAD Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC; the order is set to expire before that window. Correlated CAD-short exposure is already open, so size accordingly.

24 Nov 2025

Buy
Entry
1.41020
Stop
1.40660 hit
TP1
1.41250 reached
TP2
1.41500
TP3
1.42120

TP1 reached, then stopped +23 pips

Published 24 Nov 2025, 14:10 UTC · closed after 2d 2h

18 Nov 2025

Buy
Entry
1.40270
Stop
1.39920 hit
TP1
1.40470
TP2
1.40650
TP3
1.41290

Stopped out −35 pips

Published 18 Nov 2025, 12:42 UTC · closed after 4h 58m

3 Nov 2025

Buy
Entry
1.40350
Stop
1.39970 hit
TP1
1.40550 reached
TP2
1.40850 reached
TP3
1.41500

TP2 reached, then stopped +50 pips

Published 3 Nov 2025, 13:02 UTC · closed after 9d 3h

Full log

Every USD/CAD signal

All 33, newest first. Pips follow the counting rules further down the page.

All 33 closed USD/CAD signals, newest first
ClosedDirectionEntryStopOutcomePips
10 Sep 2026 Sell 1.38036 1.38305 ✕ Stop −27
8 Sep 2026 Sell 1.38113 1.38320 ✓ TP3 +41
4 Sep 2026 Sell 1.38555 1.38886 Expired
2 Sep 2026 Buy 1.38575 1.38332 ✓ TP3 +55
28 Aug 2026 Buy 1.38543 1.38346 ✓ TP3 +37
24 Aug 2026 Sell 1.38332 1.38566 ✕ Stop −23
19 Aug 2026 Sell 1.38991 1.39193 ✓ TP3 +40
14 Aug 2026 Sell 1.39425 1.39625 ✓ TP3 +31
23 Jul 2026 Buy 1.40649 1.40479 ✓ TP3 +34
26 Nov 2025 Buy 1.41020 1.40660 ✓ TP1, then stop +23
18 Nov 2025 Buy 1.40270 1.39920 ✕ Stop −35
12 Nov 2025 Buy 1.40350 1.39970 ✓ TP2, then stop +50
22 Jul 2025 Buy 1.36810 1.36410 ✓ TP2, then stop +59
18 Jul 2025 Buy 1.37470 1.37070 ✕ Stop −40
26 Jun 2025 Buy 1.37280 1.36980 ✓ TP1, then stop +20
23 Jun 2025 Buy 1.37600 1.37250 ✕ Stop −35
17 Jun 2025 Sell 1.35980 1.36330 ✕ Stop −35
21 May 2025 Buy 1.39070 1.38669 ✓ TP2, then stop +63
7 Mar 2025 Sell 1.43750 1.44170 ✓ TP1, then stop +20
4 Mar 2025 Buy 1.44070 1.43722 ✓ TP3 +133
20 Feb 2025 Buy 1.42073 1.41718 ✕ Stop −35
23 Jan 2025 Buy 1.43850 1.43490 ✕ Stop −36
19 Nov 2024 Buy 1.40360 1.40010 ✕ Stop −35
14 Nov 2024 Buy 1.39240 1.38890 ✓ TP3 +118
13 Sep 2024 Buy 1.35655 1.35286 ✓ TP2 +49
9 Aug 2024 Buy 1.37343 1.37195 ✓ TP2, then stop +22
5 Aug 2024 Buy 1.38060 1.37710 ✓ TP3 +114
5 Aug 2024 Buy 1.38038 1.37688 ✓ TP3 +116
15 Jul 2024 Sell 1.36330 1.36690 ✓ TP1, then stop +20
3 Jul 2024 Buy 1.36830 1.36480 ✓ TP2, then stop +47
12 Jun 2024 Buy 1.37597 1.37240 ✓ TP1, then stop +19
28 May 2024 Buy 1.36540 1.36233 ✕ Stop −31
27 May 2024 Buy 1.36650 1.36300 ✓ TP2, then stop +55
Show all 33Show the latest 20

About USD/CAD

USD/CAD is the price of one US dollar in Canadian dollars. Nicknamed the "Loonie". Canada is a major oil exporter, so crude prices sit alongside the two central banks as a driver, and Canadian and US data often land in the same hour.

The central banks behind it are the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada, and it tends to be most active during the New York session. MarketPro measures it in pips of 0.0001. The most recent winning signal was a sell from 1.38113 that reached TP3 at 1.37700, a move of 41 pips.

Before acting on any USD/CAD signal, size it from the stop with the position size calculator, so the loss if it fails is an amount you chose.

How these numbers are counted

  • A win is a signal that reached at least its first take-profit. It is counted at the furthest target it reached, so a signal that touched TP2 is worth the distance to TP2. A stop touched after a target does not turn a win into a loss. 11 wins in this record did touch the stop after their last target; a trader who held the whole position past that target would have given some back.
  • A loss is a signal that hit its stop before any target. It costs the full original stop distance, even where the stop was later moved closer.
  • No result means a signal closed early before any level, or a pending order expired unfilled. These count against the win rate, which is wins divided by every closed signal, and add nothing to the pip total.
  • Pips are measured from the published prices: 0.0001 on most pairs, 0.01 on yen pairs and silver, 0.1 on gold. No spread, commission or slippage is deducted, and your own result depends on your entry, your position size and how you exit.
  • Break-even is the win rate a record with the same average win and average loss would need just to finish flat: 1 ÷ (1 + average win ÷ average loss). A win rate means little without it.

This is the same scoring the app uses for its own track record, so the numbers here and in the app agree.

The record has three sources, and all three are included, because leaving one out would be choosing the record rather than reporting it. In 2024, 35 signals came from a human analyst desk that no longer operates. From March 2024 to February 2026, signals came from an earlier automated system. Since 14 Jul 2026, every signal comes from the current engine, which scans for setups and puts each candidate through an AI review before it can be published. Nothing was published between February 2026 and July 2026. The current engine's figures are also shown on their own, so it can be judged separately.

The whole record, and the current engine on its own
ClosedWin rateNet pipsAvg win / lossBreak-even
All time, since May 2024 33 66.7% +834 +53 / −33 38.5%
Current engine, since 14 Jul 2026 9 66.7% +188 +40 / −25 38.7%

Trading foreign exchange and other leveraged instruments carries a high level of risk and can result in the loss of some or all of your capital. Signals and educational content provided in MarketPro are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to trade. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and seek independent advice if necessary.

Written and reviewed by the MarketPro research desk

MarketPro is a trading-signal and trading-education app operated by Harajuku Holdings LTD (Cyprus). Our signal desk publishes and tracks every trade idea in-app, and every page here is checked against the app's live behaviour before publishing. Last reviewed . How we produce signals and content · About MarketPro

FAQ

USD/CAD signals: common questions

What is MarketPro's USD/CAD win rate?
Across 33 closed USD/CAD signals from May 2024 to September 2026, 22 reached at least the first take-profit, a win rate of 66.7%. 10 hit the stop before any target and 1 closed with no result, which count against the rate. The average win was 53 pips and the average loss 33, so a record with that ratio breaks even at 38.5%. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Does MarketPro show its losing USD/CAD signals?
Yes. 10 USD/CAD signals hit the stop before reaching a target, and each is in the full log on this page with its entry, stop and result in pips.
How often are USD/CAD signals published?
33 signals have closed since May 2024, the latest on 10 Sep 2026. There is no fixed schedule: a signal is published only when a setup passes both the engine scan and the review, so some weeks carry several and some carry none.
Are USD/CAD signals free?
Every account gets free signals each week, drawn from the whole feed, so a free one can be USD/CAD or any other covered market. 8 signals on this page went out free. Premium unlocks every live signal, and free premium days can be earned through referrals and in-app rewards.
How big is a pip on USD/CAD?
MarketPro measures USD/CAD in pips of 0.0001, so a move from 1.38040 to 1.38140 is 10 pips. What a pip is worth in money depends on your position size; the pip calculator works it out.
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Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.