AUD/NZD signals, with every result on record

AUDNZD is fading a well-tested range floor near 1.2379 (touched 6 times) with RSI hooking up from a deep 25.5 to 34.9, and both the 4h and daily trends lean bullish, the setup this desk's non-JPY fade longs have earned on. Long from ~1.2399 with the stop below the range low; TP1 at 1.24168 sits at half the stop distance with clear air into the range interior, TP2/TP3 further inside. Note medium-impact AUD PMIs at 23:00 UTC, this trade should largely resolve before then, but manage around that window.

AUDNZD sold hard into the range floor near 1.2277 and is bouncing, with RSI turning up from oversold and both 4h and daily trends still bullish, a mean-reversion long back toward the range interior. TP1 sits at ~0.5x the stop, just above yesterday's low which is a minor overhead cap, so the first target is realistic but not a walkover. Stop rests below the range edge. Note this strategy has bled R recently on this desk, so treat it as an educational idea with modest expectations, not a high-conviction call.

AUDNZD is rejecting the top of a well-tested range (upper ~1.2016, 11 edge touches) with RSI hooking down from 69 to 60, and both the 4h and daily trend lean bearish, so this fade runs with the higher-timeframe bias, the profile that has actually earned on short fades. Entered at market with the stop parked just above the range edge; TP1/TP2 sit inside the range and TP3 targets the interior. Original TP1 was too tight to clear the pip floor, so levels are widened slightly. Note RBA meeting minutes overnight (01:30 UTC), a fade can be disrupted if the edge breaks.

AUDNZD is fading the lower edge of a wide H1 range near the 1.2000 round number, where price rejected sharply (RSI hooked from 26 to 37.5, a deep, credible reversal). We buy the bounce back into the range. TP1 (14.5 pips, adjusted up to clear the pip floor) is the high-probability first target; the stop sits below the 1.2000 defended edge. Note the daily trend still leans bearish and there is minor overhead supply around 1.2025-1.2030 in the path, so this is a mean-reversion idea that fails if 1.2000 breaks.

AUDNZD is in a bearish H4 trend with a partial-bearish daily; price pulled back to ~1.1985 and has turned lower, closing back below the 1h EMA20 with RSI hooking down through 50 to 47. TP1 at 1.19473 (0.5x the stop distance) sits ahead of recent congestion near 1.1946, giving reasonable room. Stop above the 1.1999 pullback area is structurally survivable. Caveat: the RSI hook is shallow and this strategy's recent realized R on this desk is negative, so this is a modest-conviction idea; two low-impact AUD/NZD positioning reports come far later in the day. Not advice.

AUDNZD is fading the well-tested lower edge of a broad range (1.20445) with RSI hooking up from a deep extreme (30) and the last bar closing back higher, the deep-extreme profile that has been range-fade's better performer. The candidate's TP1 was too tight to clear the pip floor, so the stop was widened to ~2.5x ATR (below the 5d low) and targets rescaled to a ~0.5x TP1. Main risk: the move into the edge was a sharp momentum breakdown, so the edge could break rather than hold; HTF bias is mixed. AUD CPI is tomorrow, outside this trade's likely window.

AUDNZD trend-pullback short: 4h stack bearish, daily partial-bearish, and price has turned down from the EMA zone with RSI hooking below 50 (51.1 to 45.4) - a genuine downside turn, not a soft counter-trend wiggle. This pair-direction has been our positive edge recently. TP1 is set to clear the pip floor at ~0.65x the stop, just below yesterday's low where recent bars already probed. Note: the 20d/5d floor sits near 1.19276, so the TP3 runner is somewhat capped - treat TP1/TP2 as the realistic targets. Stop sits above the pullback swing highs.

AUDNZD is in a 1h downtrend with a bearish 4h stack and partial-bearish daily; price pulled up to 1.1983 and is rolling over, with RSI hooking back down through 50 (51.9 to 48.5), a trend-continuation short, the setup type that has performed best here. Entry at market, stop above the pullback high. TP1 raised slightly to clear the spread-adjusted distance floor; TP2 sits at 1x. Note: TP3 targets near the 20-day low (1.1928), so expect support there, and this adds NZD-long correlation to an existing NZDCAD long. Original stop stays put after TP1.

AUDNZD H1 pullback short: 4h stack bearish and daily partial-bearish, price pulled up to the EMA zone (extreme 1.20116) and is turning back down with RSI hooking lower (57.8 to 55.5). Stop above the pullback high at 1.20283 (~1.6x ATR), TP1 at half that distance for a high-probability first touch. Note momentum is still building rather than fully confirmed (RSI above 50), and the pair's recent track record is all longs, so this is a counter-recent-direction idea. Only minor NZD retail data later tonight, no near-term event risk.