AUD/NZD signals, with every result on record

AUDNZD is range-bound between roughly 1.2436 and 1.2522, a well-tested band (10 touches of the lower edge). Price rejected the lower edge and RSI has hooked up from 38 to 44, so this is a mean-reversion long back toward the middle of the range, with both the 4h and daily EMA stacks bullish and supporting the direction. The original stop was too wide for ATR, so it's tightened to just under the range floor; targets stay inside the range. Note an AUD interest-rate decision tomorrow ~03:30 UTC, manage risk if the trade is still open into that window.

Invalidation. An hourly close below 1.2430 breaks the lower range edge and ends the mean-reversion idea.

AUDNZD is faded back inside a wide, well-tested horizontal range (edge touched ~10 times, range about 5x ATR) after three bars probed the 1.2305 lower edge. The last hour reclaimed with RSI hooking up from 35 to 41, and the daily EMA stack is bullish, favouring a bounce toward the range interior. TP1 was nudged out to clear the spread-adjusted floor. Note this is a thin Asian session and the idea dies if the lower edge gives way, so the stop sits just below it.

Invalidation. An hourly close below 1.2292 breaks the lower range edge and ends the mean-reversion idea.

AUDNZD is fading a well-tested range floor near 1.2379 (touched 6 times) with RSI hooking up from a deep 25.5 to 34.9, and both the 4h and daily trends lean bullish, the setup this desk's non-JPY fade longs have earned on. Long from ~1.2399 with the stop below the range low; TP1 at 1.24168 sits at half the stop distance with clear air into the range interior, TP2/TP3 further inside. Note medium-impact AUD PMIs at 23:00 UTC, this trade should largely resolve before then, but manage around that window.

AUDNZD sold hard into the range floor near 1.2277 and is bouncing, with RSI turning up from oversold and both 4h and daily trends still bullish, a mean-reversion long back toward the range interior. TP1 sits at ~0.5x the stop, just above yesterday's low which is a minor overhead cap, so the first target is realistic but not a walkover. Stop rests below the range edge. Note this strategy has bled R recently on this desk, so treat it as an educational idea with modest expectations, not a high-conviction call.

AUDNZD is rejecting the top of a well-tested range (upper ~1.2016, 11 edge touches) with RSI hooking down from 69 to 60, and both the 4h and daily trend lean bearish, so this fade runs with the higher-timeframe bias, the profile that has actually earned on short fades. Entered at market with the stop parked just above the range edge; TP1/TP2 sit inside the range and TP3 targets the interior. Original TP1 was too tight to clear the pip floor, so levels are widened slightly. Note RBA meeting minutes overnight (01:30 UTC), a fade can be disrupted if the edge breaks.

AUDNZD is fading the lower edge of a wide H1 range near the 1.2000 round number, where price rejected sharply (RSI hooked from 26 to 37.5, a deep, credible reversal). We buy the bounce back into the range. TP1 (14.5 pips, adjusted up to clear the pip floor) is the high-probability first target; the stop sits below the 1.2000 defended edge. Note the daily trend still leans bearish and there is minor overhead supply around 1.2025-1.2030 in the path, so this is a mean-reversion idea that fails if 1.2000 breaks.

AUDNZD is in a bearish H4 trend with a partial-bearish daily; price pulled back to ~1.1985 and has turned lower, closing back below the 1h EMA20 with RSI hooking down through 50 to 47. TP1 at 1.19473 (0.5x the stop distance) sits ahead of recent congestion near 1.1946, giving reasonable room. Stop above the 1.1999 pullback area is structurally survivable. Caveat: the RSI hook is shallow and this strategy's recent realized R on this desk is negative, so this is a modest-conviction idea; two low-impact AUD/NZD positioning reports come far later in the day. Not advice.

AUDNZD is fading the well-tested lower edge of a broad range (1.20445) with RSI hooking up from a deep extreme (30) and the last bar closing back higher, the deep-extreme profile that has been range-fade's better performer. The candidate's TP1 was too tight to clear the pip floor, so the stop was widened to ~2.5x ATR (below the 5d low) and targets rescaled to a ~0.5x TP1. Main risk: the move into the edge was a sharp momentum breakdown, so the edge could break rather than hold; HTF bias is mixed. AUD CPI is tomorrow, outside this trade's likely window.